Technorati

Hi
Somebody tagged me on technorati, Thanks!
Technorati Profile

Green Energy

Short:
Coal will become cleaner and greener, via better scrubbers, carbon capture and gasification. It is still the cheapest and most abundant energy source we have.
Cellulose ethanol is a lot more promising than corn ethanol which is is a big threat to biodiversity and the poor.
Reducing transmission loss would save us 20%.

Long:
Nuclear Fusion could be the answer.
Probably not hydrogen, as it is too expensive and too explosive.
I heard that 100 square miles of solar in space would be enough for all our needs, how to get the power back to us is the problem.

Genetics

Short:
Diagnostic techniques to detect a single gene or gene expression will be hot, think Diabetes or Asthma.
Better knowledge of genetic will allow tailored drug treatment, which will increase effectiveness and reduce side effects.

Long:
Most people in the developed world will have their genome sequenced.
Medical insurers or HMO's will get their hands on the results.

Aircraft

Short:
The hub and spoke system will be eroded by medium sized long range jets, like the Dreamliner.

Long:
Costs are going to rise as oil peaks, and there are no feasible substitutes.

Mobile / Cell Phones

Short:
3G price wars will reduce the barriers to adoption.
GPRS integration will make phones more useful.
Carriers will give up on their stupid walled garden approach to the net.
Push to talk for voice calls.

Long:
Wi-Max or similar to surpass 3G (expensive mistake)
Voip for voice calls.
Shortish (7-15min) video clips will be popular.
Handset makers need to realise that mobile phones and high quality video are mutually exclusive, the screens will always be too small.
Lots of spare processing capacity.